PFL Best Outcome & Early UFC 310 Preview Mailbag

UFC Vegas 98 was underwhelming except for the main event where Brandon Royval defeated Tatsuro Taira, while big news emerged about UFC 310 and anticipation builds for PFL’s “Battle of the Giants” featuring Francis Ngannou vs. Renan Ferreira; discussions also covered the potential outcomes of upcoming MMA matchups, including Cris Cyborg vs. Larissa Pacheco, Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Belal Muhammad at UFC 310, and Nick Diaz‘s return against Vicente Luque.


We don’t have to tell lies, it was an underwhelming week of MMA as UFC Vegas 98 was not exactly a banner event. Nevertheless, the main event between Brandon Royval and Tatsuro Taira delivered, and we got some pretty big news about UFC 310. On top of that, we’re now on the road to PFL: Ngannou vs. Ferreira a.k.a “Battle of the Giants” in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

So, with a smattering of topics to discuss this week, let’s touch on them all.


Tatsuro Taira

“How do you think a fight between Taira and Mokaev would have played out?”

If you missed it, Brandon Royval took a hard-fought decision over Tatsuro Taira in the main event of UFC Vegas 98 this past Saturday. The fight was one of the best of the year but now that Taira has suffered his first career loss, there’s already been some questioning of how good he is. But that’s a bit crazy.

Taira is only 24 years old and he just went hammer and tongs with the No. 1-ranked guy in the world. In just about any other scenario, people would be praising the pants off him. But because he was a sizable betting favorite heading into the fight, instead there are now questions about how good he is. That’s a bit silly. Is he as good as Brandon Royval? Not quite. But basically no one else is either.

That’s not to say that Taira’s performance was above reproach. He certainly showed a number of enormous holes. Royval pieced Taira up on the feet and the Japanese fighter also maybe showed a lack of cardio for five round fights. But those are things we’d expect from a young fighter who has basically never had to develop a B game. I fully expect this to be one of those losses that is hugely beneficial for Taira.

Now on to the question: I think Taira beats Mokaev but I’m in no way certain of that. That is a matchup of two very similar fighters. Both are exceptional grapplers, Mokaev is the better wrestler but Taira is the more dangerous finisher with a few more tricks. Ultimately, I think it comes down to the striking and while Taira is not very good on the feet, he’s shown more than Mokaev has at this point so I’ll favor him.


PFL’s big night

“I think we can all agree in saying Ngannou vs Ferreira doesn’t go the distance, but what’s the most preferable outcome for the PFL? Is it Ngannou knocking out Ferreira or would it be their homegrown guy knocking out the lineal UFC champion, who never lost his belt in the cage?”

Francis Ngannou takes on Renan Ferreira in the main event of PFL’s latest PPV offering this Saturday and I think it’s safe to say this is the most important event of PFL’s existence.

Almost two years ago the PFL backed up the Brinks truck for Ngannou and now he is finally going to compete for them. Is that going to matter? Are people going to tune in because Francis Ngannou is fighting, because that was basically the calculus when PFL signed him: that Ngannou brings both cache and eyeballs. A year ago when Ngannou arguably should have beaten Tyson Fury, that might have been true. Now that Anthony Joshua put him on a stretcher? Unsure.

Aside from needing Ngannou to be a star, the PFL also really needs him to win. I’m not sure if Ngannou is a PPV draw in general, but I am certain he’s not the kind of star that can springboard others to stardom off of beating him. If Ferreira comes out and sleeps Ngannou, the only thing that happens is that the MMA world collectively says, “Well, Francis was gone for almost three years and just got savagely KOed. Guess Tom Aspinall really is the top guy right now.” Sure, Renan Ferreira would be the lineal champion, but that will be all but meaningless at that point in time. No one will care.

So yeah, the PFL needs Francis to come through and uppercut Ferreira out of the cage, remind people why they were so excited to get him in the first place and, hopefully, generate enough interest to have a successful PPV outing.

Big pressure on Big Francis this weekend.


Cris Cyborg and Larissa Pacheco

“What does the future hold for cyborg and Pacheco after this weekend? Kayla will have no real threats for a long time once she takes the belt from Pena.”

Genuinely I have no idea. Pacheco vs. Cyborg is a quality fight that has two enormous issues with it. First is that Cyborg is ancient in fight years. Cyborg has had a wonderful career but frankly the only reason it’s continued this long is because women’s featherweight isn’t a real division, so she’s feasted on overmatched and/or underweight opposition. Pacheco is the first woman Cyborg will have fought since Julia Budd who is actually capable and physically comparable. She’s probably going to get her ass kicked.

Which is all well and good for Pacheco, who is a great fighter, but that leads to problem two: there is nothing else for Pacheco to do after this. I’m honestly a bit surprised that Cyborg didn’t just retire from MMA instead of take this fight but it’s great for Pacheco she didn’t. At least Pacheco gets this one fight for the resume, but after this Pacheco then just moves into the same place Cyborg spent most of her career: having no one to fight.

My best guess is that if/when Pacheco wins, they just run back another tournament next year and she competes in it because she makes a bundle of money and it’s not like the promotion has real “superfights” to offer her. And as for Cyborg, I suspect this is it for her MMA career and she can move back on to pursuing boxing.


UFC 310

“Now that they announced Shavkat vs. Belal I can think of several exciting matchups at the top of the 170 lb division. Is this the best division has looked in last decade? Can you rate divisions by talent?”

If you missed it—the big fights for UFC 310 got announced! Headlined by Belal Muhammad vs Shavkat Rakhmonov at welterweight; it’s gonna rule! Either Belal pulls off an upset proving he’s among world’s best or Shavkat finally claims his crown—a win-win situation!

The state-of-welterweight though… maybe not peak yet? True—new names are spicing things up—but compared against golden eras like GSP days or even Woodley era with Thompson & Maia lurking around—it feels different.

Rankings-wise (drumroll please): Lightweight tops list followed closely by Bantamweight then Featherweight & Flyweight; Middleweights trail behind ahead only slightly over Welters before diving into Women categories ending w Heavyweights last!


Nick Diaz Returns!

“What should we expect from Nick Diaz?” Another sad performance or does he mean business?”

Also lined-up at UFC310—the return-of-Nick-Diaz facing Vicente Luque—a bout initially set-for-UFC-Abu Dhabi until “travel issues”… aka someone remembered UAE’s strict marijuana laws! Honestly though—it might turn-out terrible…

The issue isn’t whether Nick takes-it-seriously; truth-is Diaz doesn’t-have-it-anymore… paraphrasing Cutty Wise—the game ain’t-in-him-no-more!

Nick’s age alone—41—is nearly disqualifying! Plus only fought twice-this-decade: once against Silva (farce!) then Lawler (hard-to-watch beatdown). Last win dates-back-to early Obama presidency! Capability matters more than desire here…

I dunno why he’s returning… hope-not financial necessity—but mostly wishful thinking hopes minimal damage taken during fight given Luque seems similarly cooked lately making match-up tolerable albeit barely so….


Thanks-for-reading folks & shoutout-to-everyone sending tweets/Xs! Got burning questions about combat sports (or semi-related)? Lucky-you can send-your-tweets my way @JedKMeshew!

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